Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.031184 0.033537 0.035892 0.038423 0.041062 0.043729 0.046626
2025-10-12 0.026648 0.030374 0.034233 0.038513 0.043111 0.047888 0.053213
2025-10-19 0.023582 0.028147 0.033001 0.038514 0.044566 0.050979 0.058254
2025-10-26 0.021953 0.027204 0.032910 0.039511 0.046880 0.054800 0.063904
2025-11-02 0.020123 0.025844 0.032186 0.039649 0.048105 0.057310 0.068013
2025-11-09 0.018462 0.024535 0.031394 0.039593 0.049010 0.059379 0.071555
2025-11-16 0.016955 0.023292 0.030581 0.039423 0.049705 0.061146 0.074702
2025-11-23 0.015560 0.022089 0.029733 0.039138 0.050205 0.062639 0.077494
2025-11-30 0.014403 0.021102 0.029079 0.039023 0.050851 0.064258 0.080395
2025-12-07 0.013087 0.019841 0.028028 0.038376 0.050824 0.065060 0.082325
2025-12-14 0.011808 0.018552 0.026880 0.037556 0.050542 0.065525 0.083829
2025-12-21 0.010697 0.017418 0.025872 0.036857 0.050361 0.066074 0.085401
2025-12-28 0.010375 0.017366 0.026284 0.037991 0.052498 0.069479 0.090473
2026-01-04 0.009574 0.016638 0.025819 0.038034 0.053326 0.071369 0.093818
2026-01-11 0.008824 0.015930 0.025341 0.038030 0.054074 0.073149 0.097026
2026-01-18 0.008523 0.015833 0.025652 0.039019 0.056043 0.076394 0.101979
2026-01-25 0.007930 0.015277 0.025320 0.039156 0.056933 0.078324 0.105356
2026-02-01 0.007316 0.014650 0.024860 0.039101 0.057561 0.079922 0.108327
2026-02-08 0.006713 0.013998 0.024334 0.038931 0.058025 0.081303 0.111026
2026-02-15 0.006122 0.013322 0.023743 0.038649 0.058323 0.082467 0.113452
2026-02-22 0.005627 0.012765 0.023294 0.038535 0.058819 0.083863 0.116152
2026-03-01 0.005020 0.011978 0.022479 0.037893 0.058609 0.084363 0.117744
2026-03-08 0.004417 0.011149 0.021562 0.037079 0.058146 0.084526 0.118904